Conference Papers

Conference Papers: IPWEA National Conference on Climate Change
'Responding to Sea Level Rise'
Coffs Harbour, NSW 3 - 5 August 2008

Topic Areas

 


Setting the Scene

Climate Change: Where and When to Engineer Responses (pdf 6.3mb)
Angas Hopkins, Director, Coasts and Tourism Adaptation, Department of Climate Change

Vulnerability of the Australian Coast to Climate Change: An International Perspective  
(pdf 803k)
Professor Colin Woodroffe, University of Wollongong, NSW


Extent of Sea Level Rise: Setting the Scene

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Estimating Changes in Sea Level Extremes Under Conditions of Rising Sea Levels (pdf 110k)
John Hunter, Antarctic Climate & Ecosystems CRC, TAS
Climate change alters the frequency of high sea-level extremes. This is mainly due to the rise in mean sea level rather than to any variation in the height of the extremes relative to the mean. It is therefore possible to provide a good estimate of the probability of future extremes using existing local sea-level statistics (from observations and/or modelling) and projections of the rise in mean sea level during the present century.

Anuga The Free Ocean Impact Model  (pdf 678k)
Rudy Van Drie, Balance Research and Design, NSW
In December 2006 The Australian National University and Geoscience Australia released to the public a Free 2D Unstructured Grid, Finite Volume, Hydrodynamic Model. The model was a resultant of a Mandate put to GA by the Australian Federal Government to build capacity to identify and manage Hazard and Risk. This was interpreted and actioned by providing a software tool to aid in assessing the impact of tsunami.

Are There Less Obvious Potential Climate Change Impacts (pdf 1.4mb)
Dr Ian Joliffe, Jemma Sargent, Mary-Jane Piggott, Rainer Berg, GHD, NSW


Impacts & Risk Assessment I: Planning Responses

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Three Pass Assessment Approach to Coastal Risk Management  (pdf 120k)
Chris Sharples, James Carley University of Tasmania, TAS
Clive Attwater, SGS Economics & Planning, TAS

This paper identifies the essential elements of a properly comprehensive coastal sensitivity assessment, and suggest a conceptual framework for considering these. Such a framework can reduce the apparent
confusion of differing methods and make it easier to understand the role that various methods and approaches play in a coherent overall strategy of coastal sensitivity assessment; and the suitability of particular methods for particular coastal types.

Modelling Coastal Processes & Hazards to Assess Sea Level Rise Impacts  (pdf 402k)
James Carley, Matt Blacka, Ron Cox, WRL, UNSW, NSW
Clive Attwater, SGS, Phil Watson, Clarence City Council

This paper details the range of coastal processes and hazards considered in estimating coastal risk for Clarence City, Tasmania. The processes considered in this paper include tides and storm surge, extreme open ocean waves, swell wave penetration and local wind waves. Hazards quantified include erosion, recession, estuary entrance stability, wind blown sand, inundation and sea level rise.

Establishing Triggers for Adaptive Response to Climate Change  (pdf 112k)
Clive Attwater, Ellen Witte, SGS Economics & Planning
James Carley, Water Research Laboratory UNSW

This paper presents a framework for establishing triggers that can be used to invoke detailed planning and
action in a timely and appropriate manner that keeps risk to acceptable levels, allowing the beneficial use of coastal areas while conditions allow.


Impacts & Risk Assessment II: Council Responses

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Responding to Assessed Climate Impacts: Implications for Bayside Planning & City Resilience (pdf 399k)
Lalitha Ramachandran, Kate Nagato, City of Port Phillip, VIC
This paper provides an overview of the City’s identified climate risks and flow-on effects, the City’s approach to climate adaptation action, and the findings and learnings to date.


Port Adelaide Seawater & Stormwater Flood Risk  (pdf 56k)
Russell King, City of Port Adelaide Enfield, SA
Drew Jacobi, Tonkin Consulting, SA

Portions of land within the City of Port Adelaide Enfield are low lying to the extent that some areas are below very high tide levels. For the past five years in conjunction with the Federal Government's Natural Disaster Mitigation Program funding and State Government Agency funding (such as the Coast Protection Board) the Council has undertaken a seawater flood risk assessment and is currently working towards developing risk treatment options.


Integrated Assessment of Climate Change in Westernport Region, Victoria  (pdf 53k)
Bruce Douglas, Mornington Peninsula Shire Council, VIC
This paper presents the preliminary findings of a two-year project focused on identifying impacts of climate change on the built environment and addressing local adaption responses to those impacts.


Impacts & Risk Assessment III: Site & Locale Responses

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Sea Level Rise Implications & Adaptation for South Arm Secondary Road, Hobart  (pdf 680k)
Matt Blacka, James Carley, Water Research Laboratory, UNSW, NSW
Dion Lester, Brian Williams, Pitt & Sherry, TAS

This paper details the methods and results of an investigation into the impacts associated with inundation and sea level rise on a low-lying stretch of road, fronting Ralphs Bay, south-east of Hobart.

Sea Level Rise & Climate Change Impacts for Planning a New Hospital  (pdf 705k)
James Carley, Matt Blacka, Ron Cox, WRL, UNSW
James McIntosh, Jane McArthur, Pitt & Sherry TAS

This paper details the methodology used to assess the risk due to sea level rise for the proposed new hospital. Furthermore it describes the limits of existing data in extrapolating to extremely rare events, and how with future sea level rise, what are presently considered to be extremely rare water level events will become commonplace. Adaptive management options for dealing with sea level rise on the site are presented, which includes a recommended freeboard in excess of normal building code requirements.

Review of Land Development Policy to Manage Impacts of Climate Change in Manukau City  (pdf 3.2mb)
Mohammed Hassan, Zheng Qian, Manukau City Council, NZ
Doug Ramsay, Nat Inst of Water & Atmospheric Research

Manukau City Council, under the Resource Management Act 1991 and the Local Government Act 2002, has the responsibility to promote the sustainable management of natural and physical resources, to avoid or mitigate natural hazards and to have particular regard to the effects of climate change.


Adaptation Strategies I

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Choosing from Adaptation Options: More than a Short Term Cost Benefit Approach  (pdf 89k)
Clive Attwater, Ellen Witte SGS Economics & Planning, TAS
This paper outlines how broadening the considerations can lead to more sustainable solutions acceptable to both coastal communities and the wider community that use coastal areas.

Adaptable Solutions for an Uncertain Future and the Role of Cost Effective Monitoring: Kingscliff Foreshore Protection and CoastalCOMS   (pdf 102k)
Dan Messiter & Jane Lofthouse, Worley Parsons, NSW
There is currently widespread focus on defining climate change outcomes and associated risks.
While this sentiment is well placed, the enormity of that particular task is challenging to say the least, with the “goal posts and playing field” constantly changing at unknown rates. From a coastal engineer’s point of view it is important to continue concentrating on practical management solutions to coastline hazards that are adaptable into the future in the face of uncertain environmental conditions and associated risk.

The Changing Coast: Providing Room for Natural Adjustments  (pdf 356k)
Chris Sharples, University of Tasmania, TAS
Clive Attwater, SGS Economics & Planning, TAS

This paper explores how allowing natural adjustment of coastal areas may provide benefits in cost savings for property protection and enhanced coastal values, both for human use and protection of ecosystem values.


Adaptation Strategies II

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Floodplain Management: Adapting for Sea Level Rise   (pdf 453K)
Richard Dewar, WMAwater Consulting Engineers, NSW
Duncan McLuckie, NSW Dept of Environment & Climate Change, NSW

This paper provides a description of the likely effects of a sea level rise of up to 1 m on urban developments. This is followed with a preliminary quantitative assessment of the increase in number of building floors inundated, frequency of inundation and magnitude of flood damages for several case studies.

Managing Sea Level Rise & Climate Change  (pdf 892k)
Bruce Harper Systems Engineering Australia P/L, QLD
This paper provides an overview of some of the problems facing public works engineers and Local Government in general, as well as offering some guidance for best practice investigation and planning based on robust and practical methodologies. Important new developments are also summarised.

Using Pittwater’s Floodplain Management Strategy as the Key to Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change & Sea Level Rise  (pdf 112k)
Sue Ribbons, Pittwater Council, NSW
This paper presents the first rapidly evolving stages of Pittwater’s Adaptation Strategy for Climate Change and Sea Level Rise.


Wider Impacts & Responses

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Anticipated Response of Coastal Lagoons to Sea Level Rise  (pdf 216k)
Dr Philip Haines, BMT WBM, NSW
Dr Bruce Thom, Wentworth Group of Concerned Scientists

Coastal lagoons, or ICOLLs (Intermittently Closed and Open Lakes and Lagoons), are a common feature on the south-east coast of Australia (particularly in NSW). Their environmental processes have evolved in response to their unique hydrological behaviour, which is dependent on both catchment and coastal processes and inputs.

Balancing the Risks across your Total Business: Is Sea Level Rise the Only Risk you should be Addressing?  (pdf 2.4mb)
Roger Byrne, Brenton Marshall
GHD Asset Management Group, VIC

Responding to Sea Level Rise - Local Government Planning and Infrastructure Implications  (pdf 7mb)
Stephen Sawtell General Manager, Coffs Harbour City Council , NSW


Planning Land Use

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Planning Controls to Manage Increased Tidal Inundation of Estuarine Foreshore Development in Gosford  (pdf 1mb)
Peter Sheath, Gosford City Council, NSW
This paper explores some of the potential planning controls that can be applied to low-lying areas in the future.

That Sinking Feeling: A Town Planning Response to Sea Level Rise  (pdf 135k)
Tarnya Fitzgibbon, McCullough Robertson Lawyers, QLD
This paper outlines the planning initiatives which may be used in Queensland to mitigate the impacts of climate change, particularly sea level rise on coastal areas. The paper also provides a brief discussion of the potential liability of planning authorities for losses which may arise out of planning decisions.

Planning Schemes & Legal Issues: Adjusting the Instruments to Changing Conditions 
(pdf 146k)
Paul Howorth, Clive Attwater, SGS Economics & Planning, ACT
Planning has what may be described as a ‘special duty of care’ to populations and localities in relation to how it balances and accounts for known and emerging land use issues. Planning schemes are the instruments through which local governments implement this duty.


Community Impact & Engagement

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Bearing the Cost: Setting Price Signals & Cost Sharing to Ensure a Soft Landing  (pdf 161k)
Clive Attwater, Ellen Witte, SGS Economics & Planning, TAS
Many residents in coastal areas that are at low risk in the absence of climate change will be adversely affected by changes that are beyond their control. There is a significant case that such residents have a claim on wider society for assistance should additional costs be imposed for protection, adaptation or withdrawal due to sea level rise and directly related effects.

Decision Making for Local Government  (pdf 134k)
Khondker Rahman, Peter Gibson, Connell Wagner, QLD
This presentation will discuss why climate change will create new and additional leadership and governance opportunities for local governments. It will expand on ‘mitigation’ and ‘adaptation’ measures local councils can put forward to prevent climate change, in particular the impacts on rising sea levels to highlight the range of operational opportunities available to councils.

A Far South Coast Story  Coming Soon
Mark Canaider, Derek van Bracht, David Basil, Bega Valley Shire Council, NSW


Storm Tide & Emergency Management

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Caloundra City Storm Tide Management  (pdf 912k)
Megan Gould, Gildas Colleter, Connell Wagner, QLD
Michael Erpf, Sunshine Coast Regional Council, QLD

This paper discusses the various studies undertaken, the methods employed to predict storm tide levels and the management tools Council has developed to manage storm tide now and into the future.

Storm Tide Risk Assessments in Tropical & Sub Tropical Areas: Impacts & Emergency Management Needs  (pdf 251k)
Ross Fryar, Ivan Botev, Paul Priebbenow, GHD, QLD
Bruce Harper, Systems Engineering Aust P/L QLD

This paper outlines key issues and approaches in dealing with the potential impacts of storm tide through
reference to a number of recent studies in Queensland (in particular the Whitsunday, Townsville,
South East Queensland and Innisfail regions).

Coastal Zone Conjunctive Flood Modelling  (pdf 182k)
Garry Tong, Principal Consultant – Water, Maunsell Australia Pty Ltd
The paper draws attention to the need for coastal zone flood analysis and mapping to be based on
a conjunctive approach which combines the annual probabilities or average return intervals (ARIs)
of storm events on catchments (meteorologic) discharging against essentially unknown sea
conditions (primarily astronomic).